Scenario: a non-Express-Entry PNP PR application (submitted online, Feb 2022) still showing "Submitted" with no AOR, and the applicant unsure what happens next. Timelines are from the 2022 backlog period — treat them as historical.
What group members explained:- The stream determines everything. For an Express Entry–linked PNP application, AOR usually arrives within about a day and the biometrics request within roughly a month, with the medical provided upfront. For non-EE (paper-based/online non-EE) PNP applications, there is no quick acknowledgement — long silences at "Submitted" are normal.
- Non-EE PNP processing is measured in years, not months. Members' rule of thumb at the time: EE-linked federal stage ~6 months; non-EE applications typically 1–2 years at the federal stage.
- Status inquiries mostly return queue boilerplate. Asking IRCC for updates during this phase generally yields "your application is in the queue" — the next real event is a biometrics/medical request or an additional-document request.
The practical takeaway: first identify whether your PNP application is EE-linked or not; if it isn't, a long "Submitted" phase is expected — wait for the biometrics/medical request rather than reading anything into the static status.